The odds of a white Christmas are perhaps lower than you would expect in CT, with only around a 40% chance of a White Christmas in Danbury and Hartford and a 20% chance of a White Christmas in Bridgeport. To quickly define a ‘White Christmas’ for the purposes of this article, there has to be 1 inch of snow depth or greater on Christmas Day. For most throughout the state, the odds of a “Green Christmas” are actually better than the odds of a White Christmas. In recent years, the odds seem to have fallen even lower. For example, the Danbury area has not experienced a White Christmas since 2017 (when snow fell on Christmas Morning) and Bridgeport since 2009! The Bridgeport records go back to 1948 and that is the longest streak of green.
In comes 2024. As I type this is currently 15 degrees outside with about an inch of snow on the ground here in Northern Fairfield County. With seasonably cold temperatures expected to continue and a fresh coating of snow Christmas Eve morning, it is looking likely that at least the interior will be seeing a White Christmas this year.
Another “Alberta Clipper” will bring light snow to the region Tuesday morning, with around 0.5 to 1.5 inches expected for many across the state. Bridgeport is modeled to get around an inch of snow. Can that survive a forecast high 38 Tuesday and stay on the ground for Christmas morning? It’s going to be close!
A clipper system will bring a fresh coating of snow the morning of the 24th. GFS Total Snowfall below.
If I were asked to give the odds of a “true” White Christmas right now this would be it – please keep in mind there will likely be at least a “Trace” of snow Christmas even if its not quite 1″.
Danbury: 80% Hartford: 70% Bridgeport: 50% May the odds be in your favor!
