Evening data is in and I see no major changes with the storm. Short range guidance has started coming within range as well, which helps us gain resolution. HRRR model below. Headlines remain the same:
HRRR model showing broad low pressure with periods of rain Monday
RAIN: 1-2 Inches
WINDS: NE gusts 30 to 45 mph with highest gusts along the shoreline approaching 50 mph.
COASTAL FLOODING: Moderate flooding especially during the Monday AM tide cycle. 1.5’ to 2.5’ above mean tide levels.
POWER OUTAGES: Scattered outages statewide.
TIMING: Periods of rain begin between 12PM and 2PM Sunday. It becomes breezier as the day goes on. Peak storm comes 9PM Sunday through 9AM Monday. Showers taper off Mondayafternoon. Partly sunny by Tuesday morning.
Peak wind gusts – HRRR model
Overall, I don’t think this is a memorable storm, more of just a typical October Nor’easter. Of course, if anything changes either way I’ll have updates.
